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FIRE Alarm

May 26th, 2009 by Jeb Foster

Writing for the New Yorker, economist James Surowiecki notes that the FIRE economy–which stands for finance, insurance, and real estate–shrank for the first time in 16 years. “Since 1980, this sector’s share of the economy has grown by almost half. Now, apparently, the worm has turned,” says Surowiecki.

Looking at credit default swaps and mortgage-backed securities, it’s easy to understand how and why the finance and real estate markets are shrinking. And the insurance industry, of course, is so interconnected with those two that it was only a matter of time before it started to feel the pain as well, even if it wasn’t as reckless as its siblings in the banking and property sectors.

Surowiecki looks back at the last 10-20 year period as the “financialization” of our domestic economy, when Wall Street became an economic driver in its own right, as opposed to a follower. And that’s where things went wrong.

“Wall Street needs to recognize that its proper role is, as it has been in the past, to follow the real economy, rather than trying to drive it,” says Surowiecki. ” During the housing bubble, the financial sector essentially tried to create reality. Now’s the time for it to respond to reality instead.”

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